Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.28	1.63
	2.31	1.61
	2.4	1.65
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
40.9%

Francis Tiafoe
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.8%	0%	47.2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Etcheverry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tiafoe to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Etcheverry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0

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