Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Emil Ruusuvuori		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.38	1.58
	2.33	1.61
	2.55	1.57
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.93)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emil Ruusuvuori
40.3%

Francis Tiafoe
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emil Ruusuvuori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emil Ruusuvuori's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emil Ruusuvuori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	0%	84%

Emil Ruusuvuori - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ruusuvuori is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tiafoe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tiafoe to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruusuvuori won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Francis Tiafoe - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
21.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2
ATP Toronto
08.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2

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