Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.27	1.69
	2.14	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.83)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
42.2%

Hamad Medjedovic
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Martin Etcheverry's form might have worsened.

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamad Medjedovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	0%	76.3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamad Medjedovic will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 51. Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 61.

Etcheverry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Medjedovic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Medjedovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Etcheverry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2

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