Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	2.18 ↓ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
57%

Corentin Moutet
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Moutet will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Etcheverry: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Moutet (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Moutet (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Moutet (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 44. Moutet is ranked ATP: 75.

Etcheverry is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moutet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Etcheverry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Etcheverry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Houston
31.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Nicolas Mejia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LL?LW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	David Goffin - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alexander Blockx - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2

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