Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.32	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.46)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
40%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Etcheverry (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Davidovich Fokina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Etcheverry (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 46. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42.

Etcheverry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etcheverry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Etcheverry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
31.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLL?L
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
01.03.25	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0

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