Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Uslar, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Tomasz Berkieta		Nikolai Barsukov

	1	2
	1.53	2.30
	1.50	2.40
	1.57	2.43
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.55	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	2.36 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tomasz Berkieta
60.6%

Nikolai Barsukov
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomasz Berkieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nikolai Barsukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomasz Berkieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikolai Barsukov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tomasz Berkieta - Nikolai Barsukov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Berkieta is ranked ATP: 552. Barsukov is ranked ATP: 735.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Berkieta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Berkieta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tomasz Berkieta - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Liam Gavrielides	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Vito Tonejc	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Leyton Rivera - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Luca Castagnola - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Tobia Grandinetti - Tomasz Berkieta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW
- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Isac Stroemberg - Nikolai Barsukov	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Aaron Funk - Nikolai Barsukov	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Matteo Fondriest - Nikolai Barsukov	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Michel Hopp - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Tomasz Berkieta - Nikolai Barsukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide