Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)


	Tommy Paul		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.41	3.13
	1.5	2.79
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	2.77 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
65.5%

Aslan Karatsev
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Tommy Paul - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Karatsev will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paul is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Tommy Paul - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Tommy Paul - Martin Damm	Paul T. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.24	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
14.03.24	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LW?LW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Aslan Karatsev - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.24	Aslan Karatsev - Jason Kubler	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.23	Aslan Karatsev - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.10.23	Aslan Karatsev - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
24.07.21	Aslan Karatsev - Tommy Paul	2:0

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