Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Tommy Paul		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.94
	1.45	2.83	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	2.8 ↓ (3.01)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
65.9%

Daniel Altmaier
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Altmaier will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Paul (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Altmaier (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 26. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 65.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paul is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Tommy Paul - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Tommy Paul - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Daniel Altmaier - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Daniel Altmaier - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Henri Squire - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:1

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