Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TORONTO (CANADA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Tommy Paul		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.48
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.67
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.56	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.56 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
62.7%

Marcos Giron
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tommy Paul's form might have worsened.

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcos Giron's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tommy Paul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcos Giron, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Tommy Paul - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Giron will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Paul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giron is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
07.08.23	Tommy Paul - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
03.08.23	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Newport
21.07.23	Tommy Paul - John Isner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Marcos Giron
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Marcos Giron - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
08.08.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
06.08.23	Marcos Giron - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Marcos Giron - Nick Chappell	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.23	Marcos Giron - Radu Albot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition World TeamTennis Men
26.11.21	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	1:0
ATP Miami
24.03.21	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Challenger
08.09.19	Tommy Paul - Marcos Giron	2:0
06.08.18	Tommy Paul - Marcos Giron	0:2
ITF Tournaments
24.03.17	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	2:0

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