Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tristan Boyer		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.84)	1.47 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Boyer
36.5%

Toby Samuel
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Boyer's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Tristan Boyer - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boyer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boyer: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boyer (votes: 2 - 40%). Samuel (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boyer is ranked ATP: 181. Samuel is ranked ATP: 251.

Samuel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Boyer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Toby Samuel - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Boyer
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Yibing Wu - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Alex Barrena - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Toby Samuel - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Liam Broady - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Clement Tabur - Toby Samuel	✺

Tristan Boyer - Toby Samuel