Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Liam Broady		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.23)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
37.8%

Toby Samuel
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Liam Broady - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Broady will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Samuel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Samuel (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Broady (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Broady will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Broady (votes: 6 - 75%). Samuel (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 303. Samuel is ranked ATP: 261.

Broady is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samuel is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broady won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Daniel Masur - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.11.25	Liam Broady - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Liam Broady - Jakub Filip	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Liam Broady - Stepan Baum	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Liam Broady - Karlis Ozolins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Toby Samuel - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Toby Samuel - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Toby Samuel - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Toby Samuel - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Toby Samuel - Liam Broady	2:0

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