Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Elias Ymer

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.31
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.64	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.97)	2.25 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
58.1%

Elias Ymer
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Tristan Schoolkate - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ymer (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 50%). Ymer (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 118. Ymer is ranked ATP: 174.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
15.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLW?
- Elias Ymer
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Elias Ymer - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWL

Tristan Schoolkate - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide