Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Wang X. (Chn)


	Tristan Schoolkate		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.29	1.64
	2.3	1.65
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
41.6%

Mattia Bellucci
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tristan Schoolkate - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Schoolkate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bellucci will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Yevseyev	Yevseyev D. retired ✺
26.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tristan Schoolkate	Uchiyama Y. retired ✺
18.04.24	Adam Walton - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LW?L
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Li Tu - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	James Duckworth - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Jules Marie - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Mattia Bellucci - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Tristan Schoolkate - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide