Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Soon Woo Kwon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.70	1.40
	2.75	1.4
	3.02	1.43
	2.74	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.41
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.21)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
33.4%

Soon Woo Kwon
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Soon Woo Kwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Soon Woo Kwon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soon Woo Kwon than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Soon Woo Kwon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tristan Schoolkate - Soon Woo Kwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kwon will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 187. Kwon is ranked ATP: 153.

Recent performances by Schoolkate have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kwon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kwon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	August Holmgren - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Daniel Evans - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Soon Woo Kwon
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Aidan Kim	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Gavin Young	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW

Tristan Schoolkate - Soon Woo Kwon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide