Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Tung-Lin Wu		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.78	1.99
	1.79	2.07
	1.73	2
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.53)	1.99 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tung-Lin Wu
53%

Egor Gerasimov
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tung-Lin Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tung-Lin Wu's form might have worsened.

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Gerasimov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tung-Lin Wu than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tung-Lin Wu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egor Gerasimov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tung Lin Wu - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gerasimov will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wu: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

Wu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gerasimov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerasimov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tung-Lin Wu
ATP Asian Games
25.09.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Hoang Nam Ly	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.23	Patrick Kypson - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Jiri Lehecka - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWL

Tung-Lin Wu - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide