Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jiri Lehecka		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.33	3.67
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.3	3.52	Watch
	1.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	3.53 ↑ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
73.1%

Egor Gerasimov
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiri Lehecka's performance.

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egor Gerasimov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jiri Lehecka - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gerasimov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lehecka is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Laslo Djere - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Jiri Lehecka - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.23	Egor Gerasimov - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLL

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