Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fujairah, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.64	2.13
	1.76	2.11
	1.71	2.02
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.53)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
55.1%

Antoine Ghibaudo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antoine Ghibaudo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Noguchi (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 244. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 340.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ghibaudo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Rawat Sidharth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Timeo Trufelli	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Loann Massard	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide