Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.75	2.12
	1.66	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.87	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
54.4%

Jay Clarke
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Jay Clarke Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Gueymard Wayenburg (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Gueymard Wayenburg (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gueymard Wayenburg (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 207. Clarke is ranked ATP: 186.

Gueymard Wayenburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Clarke has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gueymard Wayenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Mark Lajal - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Tom Paris - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Jay Clarke - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jay Clarke - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Jay Clarke - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jay Clarke - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide