Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	14:00	Max
Croatia	13:00	Max
Czech Republic	13:00	Max
Denmark	13:00	Max
Finland	14:00	Max
France	13:00	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	13:00	Max
Norway	13:00	MAX
Poland	13:00	Max
Romania	14:00	Max
Serbia	13:00	Max
Slovenia	13:00	Max
Sweden	13:00	Max
Usa	07:00	Max


	Ugo Blanchet		Christian Garin

	1	2
	4.5	1.18
	4	1.22
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.46	1.22
	4.34	1.21	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.05	1.23	Watch
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.34)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
22%

Christian Garin
78%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Blanchet's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Ugo Blanchet - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Garin will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 50%). Garin (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Garin (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 25%). Garin (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 193. Garin is ranked ATP: 122.

In recent matches, Blanchet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Garin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Garin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Garin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blanchet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Chris Rodesch - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Christian Garin - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Mitchell Krueger - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Christian Garin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Christian Garin - Ugo Blanchet	1:2

Ugo Blanchet - Christian Garin