Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Ugo Blanchet		Christian Garin

	1	2
	4.5	1.18
	4	1.22
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.46	1.22
	4.34	1.21	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.05	1.23	Watch
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.34)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
22%

Christian Garin
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Blanchet's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Ugo Blanchet - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Garin will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 50%). Garin (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Garin (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 25%). Garin (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 193. Garin is ranked ATP: 122.

In recent matches, Blanchet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Garin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Garin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Garin is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blanchet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Chris Rodesch - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Christian Garin - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Mitchell Krueger - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Christian Garin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Elias Ymer - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Christian Garin - Ugo Blanchet	1:2

Ugo Blanchet - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide