Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Valentin Royer		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.52	1.59
	2.34	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
40.3%

Learner Tien
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Valentin Royer - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Tien will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Royer will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 88. Tien is ranked ATP: 54.

Royer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tien has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Valentin Royer - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Valentin Royer - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- Learner Tien
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

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