Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Giulio Zeppieri		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.39	1.56
	2.42	1.62
	2.77	1.45	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.03)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
38.4%

Learner Tien
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Giulio Zeppieri - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Tien will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zeppieri (votes: 3 - 50%). Tien (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Zeppieri (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Zeppieri (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tien (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 169. Tien is ranked ATP: 54.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tien could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
09.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Giulio Zeppieri	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWW??
- Learner Tien
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

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