Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Learner Tien		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.91	Watch
	2.07	1.71	Watch
	1.93	1.91	Watch
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.07)	1.86 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
48.7%

Andrey Rublev
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	0%	27.6%

Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Rublev will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tien (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Tien (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Tien (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Learner Tien will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Rublev (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 39. Rublev is ranked ATP: 17.

Tien is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rublev's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Learner Tien - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Learner Tien - Andrey Rublev	2:0

Upcoming Matches