Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DAVIS CUP - WORLD GROUP II (WORLD)

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Valentin Vacherot		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	2.26 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
58.6%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvaro Guillen Meza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Valentin Vacherot - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 40% – 93.4%.

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Preview

Recent matches Vacherot is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillen Meza is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Guillen Meza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Valentin Vacherot - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Yannik Steinegger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.08.23	Rudolf Molleker - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Valentin Vacherot - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
26.08.23	Blaise Bicknell - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Gustavo Heide - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

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