Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Baez		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	3.50	1.30	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	3.25	1.34
	3.18	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.34
	3.31	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
29%

Valentin Vacherot
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sebastian Baez - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 53., and Vacherot is ranked ATP: 18..

Baez is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Vacherot have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Baez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Vacherot is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Juncheng Shang - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Sebastian Baez - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLL?
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Tokyo
05.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWWL

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