Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Valentin Vacherot		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.85	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.39	3.18
	1.38	2.99	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.93	Watch
	1.32	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	2.95 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
68.3%

Elias Ymer
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Valentin Vacherot - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vacherot will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 262. Ymer is ranked ATP: 263.

Vacherot is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ymer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ymer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vacherot might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Clement Chidekh - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Jaume Munar - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Arthur Gea - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Elias Ymer - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

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