Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Alexey Vatutin		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.72	1.29
	3.55	1.26	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.63	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.84)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
25.8%

Valentin Vacherot
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Vacherot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Alexey Vatutin - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Vacherot (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 313. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 262.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vacherot is considered a favorite.

We predict that Vacherot will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Facundo Mena - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Clement Chidekh - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Jaume Munar - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Arthur Gea - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

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