Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Elias Ymer		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.01)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
41.8%

Aslan Karatsev
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karatsev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Karatsev (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Karatsev (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 263. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 191.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Karatsev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ymer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Elias Ymer - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Elias Ymer - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
30.03.25	Elias Ymer - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Petr Brunclik - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Aslan Karatsev - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Federico Cina - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Pune
03.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Elias Ymer	0:2

Elias Ymer - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide