Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Valentin Vacherot		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.69
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	2.58 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
63.6%

Mark Lajal
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valentin Vacherot - Mark Lajal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 262. Lajal is ranked ATP: 217.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Vacherot is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Clement Chidekh - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Valentin Vacherot - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Jaume Munar - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Mark Lajal - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Mark Lajal - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Mark Lajal - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mark Lajal - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

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