Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Elise Mertens		Madison Keys

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.39	Watch
	3.08	1.43
	3.06	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.16	1.37	Watch
	3	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.84)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elise Mertens
31.1%

Madison Keys
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	0%	82.8%

Elise Mertens - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: Madison Keys will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 28. Keys is ranked WTA: 5.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2.

Recent matches Mertens is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Keys in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Keys is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Keys to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mertens won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elise Mertens
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Elise Mertens - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Madison Keys
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Anastasia Potapova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
25.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Madison Keys - Elina Svitolina	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.24	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.23	Madison Keys - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.21	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Australian Open
18.01.19	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:1
WTA US Open
29.08.17	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	0:2

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