Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Kyoka Okamura

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.81
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	2.76 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
66.2%

Kyoka Okamura
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.

Kyoka Okamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoka Okamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoka Okamura than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Kyoka Okamura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 147. Okamura is ranked WTA: 196.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lepchenko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Janice Tjen	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
23.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
06.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWL
- Kyoka Okamura
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Kyoka Okamura - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Janice Tjen - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Kyoka Okamura - Maddison Inglis	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Kyoka Okamura - En Shuo Liang	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Kyoka Okamura - Wushuang Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLW

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