Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Veronika Erjavec		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.02	1.85
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.91)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veronika Erjavec
46.6%

Tatjana Maria
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veronika Erjavec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veronika Erjavec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Veronika Erjavec - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Erjavec will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Maria will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Veronika Erjavec will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erjavec is ranked WTA: 105. Maria is ranked WTA: 43.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Maria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tatjana Maria - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veronika Erjavec
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Arina Rodionova - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Fangran Tian - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Veronika Erjavec - Maddison Inglis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Veronika Erjavec - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW
- Tatjana Maria
WTA Ningbo
11.10.25	Tatjana Maria - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Viktorija Golubic - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Yulia Putintseva - Tatjana Maria	Maria T. walkover ✺
01.10.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Saisai Zheng - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LL?WW

Veronika Erjavec - Tatjana Maria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide