Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Diego Dedura-Palomero

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.34	3.36
	1.43	2.68	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.34	3.08	Watch
	1.53	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.81 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
66.4%

Diego Dedura-Palomero
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Vilius Gaubas - Diego Dedura Palomero Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 352.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaubas might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Olle Wallin - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lautaro Midon - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW
- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Norbert Gombos - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Mariano Navone - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Petr Brunclik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL

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