Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.75	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
53.5%

Edas Butvilas
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Vilius Gaubas - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Butvilas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 187. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 249.

Both players are in bad shape now.

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Kalin Ivanovski	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Federico Coria - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Nick Hardt - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Edas Butvilas - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	August Holmgren - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Edas Butvilas - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLL

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