Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Marino 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	17:30	Laola1
Germany	17:30	Laola1


	Vilius Gaubas		Genaro Alberto Olivieri

	1	2
	1.29	3.50	Watch
	1.30	3.20
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.35	3.69
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.32	3.35
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.30	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	3.27 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
71.2%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olivieri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 128. Olivieri is ranked ATP: 200.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gaubas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Chun Hsin Tseng	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WL?LL
- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Jeri Lassila	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
12.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Vilius Gaubas	2:1

Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri