Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Vilius Gaubas		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.58	2.42
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
59.9%

Matteo Martineau
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Martineau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Terence Atmane - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Matteo Martineau - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Matteo Martineau - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Lucas Miedler	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Stefano Napolitano	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLL?L

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