Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.00	1.72	Watch
			Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
46.1%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vilius Gaubas - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Gaubas (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 163. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 143.

Recent performances by Gaubas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burruchaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Vilius Gaubas - Alexis Klegou	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Hynek Barton - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Lajovic D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWL?

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