Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Vit Kopriva		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.67
	2.32	1.71
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.28	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)	1.67 (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
42.7%

Arthur Rinderknech
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Vit Kopriva - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: Vit Kopriva will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopriva is ranked ATP: 66. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 26.

Kopriva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rinderknech's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kopriva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Rinderknech - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Justin Engel - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW

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