Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Dusan Lajovic		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.6
	2.42	1.63
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.43	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.69)	1.6 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
40.2%

Arthur Rinderknech
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dusan Lajovic's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Rinderknech will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 138. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 26.

Lajovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rinderknech's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rinderknech might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Chris Rodesch - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Max Houkes - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Remy Bertola - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Terence Atmane - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
20.10.21	Arthur Rinderknech - Dusan Lajovic	2:1

Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide