Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo (Uruguay), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Vit Kopriva		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.64
	2.3	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vit Kopriva
40.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Vit Kopriva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kopriva will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kopriva: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kopriva is ranked ATP: 149. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 106.

Kopriva in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vit Kopriva
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Francisco Comesana - Vit Kopriva	1:2 ✺
07.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Vit Kopriva - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
08.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
18.10.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWW?W

Vit Kopriva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide