Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Yanki Erel		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.16	1.66
	2.19	1.74
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.13	1.70
	2.10	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
44.1%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanki Erel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Dylan Hara Friend could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Yanki Erel - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erel will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 305. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 312.

Erel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hara Friend's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Erel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hara Friend could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Yanki Erel - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Yanki Erel - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Yanki Erel - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yanki Erel - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Samir Hamza Reguig - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Billy Harris - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches