Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.29
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.67	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	2.25 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
57.4%

Alejandro Tabilo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 72. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 26.

Hurkacz has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tabilo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hurkacz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Hurkacz will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hurkacz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
03.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Casper Ruud - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 W?WWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Terence Atmane - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
22.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWL

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