Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.10	1.37
	3.13	1.36	Watch
	3.20	1.36
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.96)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
30.2%

Francis Tiafoe
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Yannick Hanfmann - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 57., and Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 8..

Recent results have been tough for Hanfmann (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Tiafoe have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hanfmann may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hanfmann has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Kei Nishikori - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ben Shelton	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.24	Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0

Upcoming Matches