Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.05	Watch
	1.39	3.26
	1.36	3.14	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.63)	3.16 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
69.8%

Marcos Giron
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcos Giron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yannick Hanfmann - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Giron will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 60. Giron is ranked ATP: 76.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hanfmann is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hanfmann won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 40.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
01.04.26	Karim Bennani - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Jesper De Jong - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?WWL
- Marcos Giron
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Marcos Giron - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Nuno Borges - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
06.11.25	Marcos Giron - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Marcos Giron - Yannick Hanfmann	3:1

Yannick Hanfmann - Marcos Giron: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide