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Current Win Probability
Yannick Stephan Born 65.4%
Jean-Marc Werner 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.1%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yannick Stephan Born has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Jean-Marc Werner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Stephan Born than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jean-Marc Werner than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.9%
0%
84.1%
Yannick Stephan Born - Jean Marc Werner Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Born will win (votes: 7 - 15.9%). Werner will win (votes: 37 - 84.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Werner: 73.3% – 94.9%.