Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Yaojie Zeng		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
			Watch
	5	1.14	Watch
	5.4	1.12	Watch
	6.23	1.13
	11.04	1.02	Watch
	5.5	1.12	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (1.84)	1.23 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaojie Zeng
17.4%

Bernard Tomic
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaojie Zeng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaojie Zeng's form might have worsened.

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bernard Tomic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaojie Zeng than the current prediction. (+35.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaojie Zeng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-35.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yaojie Zeng - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Zeng (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5 Games - Zeng (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zeng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zeng is ranked ATP: 887. Tomic is ranked ATP: 168.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zeng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaojie Zeng
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Hiroki Moriya - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Woobin Shin	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Yaojie Zeng - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Patrick Kypson - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Arthur Fery - Bernard Tomic	Fery A. walkover ✺
15.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLW?W

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