Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 21 August 2025, ThursdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Bernard Tomic |
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Henrique Rocha |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.67 |
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2.1 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.05 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.07 |
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 |
1.72 |
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2.15 |
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1.79 |
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1.98 |
 Watch |
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1.67 |
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2.1 |
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1.74 |
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2.05 |
Watch |
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2.04 |
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1.72 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.04) |
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2.03 ↑
(1.72) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bernard Tomic
53.5% | Henrique Rocha
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henrique Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henrique Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Bernard Tomic - Henrique Rocha Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Rocha will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomic (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rocha (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Tomic is ranked ATP: 169. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.74%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
