Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.26
	1.36	2.93	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.42	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.66)	3.03 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
69.1%

Philip Sekulic
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philip Sekulic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philip Sekulic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 182. Sekulic is ranked ATP: 462.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sekulic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tomic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.01%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
13.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?LWW
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Cruz Hewitt - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Emile Hudd	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
15.12.20	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	2:0

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