Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SHANGHAI (CHINA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ye Cong Mo		Luca Castelnuovo

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Ye Cong Mo
71.8%

Luca Castelnuovo
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ye Cong Mo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Recent matches Mo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelnuovo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castelnuovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ye Cong Mo
ITF Tournaments
14.07.23	Ye Cong Mo - Jeremy Jin	2:1 ✺
13.07.23	Ye Cong Mo - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Ye Cong Mo - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
30.06.23	Yan Bai - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
29.06.23	Ray Ho - Ye Cong Mo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
14.07.23	Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Hanwen Li	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
05.07.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Zhan Zheng - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Ye Cong Mo - Luca Castelnuovo