Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Yexin Ma		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	2.3	1.55
	2.42	1.54	Watch
	2.46	1.56	Watch
	2.37	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.63)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yexin Ma
39.3%

Varvara Lepchenko
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yexin Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yexin Ma than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Yexin Ma - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 228. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 143.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lepchenko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.26%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yexin Ma
ITF Tournaments
07.01.26	Naiktha Bains - Yexin Ma	Ma Y. retired ✺
05.01.26	Katrina Scott - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Kristiana Sidorova - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Sakura Hosogi - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WLWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
03.12.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Carolina Alves	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW

Yexin Ma - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide