Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.46	1.57
	3.54	1.30	Watch
	2.38	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.22)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
34.5%

Jesper De Jong
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan Schoolkate's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 1 - 25%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 95. De Jong is ranked ATP: 80.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Jong could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tristan Schoolkate	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLW
- Jesper De Jong
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?LLWW

Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide